Mitt Romney holds a slight lead of 45 percent, compared to 44 percent for Barack Obama, according to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll. If Democrats were hoping for a convention "bump" as a result of major prime-time speeches at the Democratic Convention in Charlotte, they've yet to get it.
There is still time for a surge in the polls. Indeed, President Obama will deliver his major prime-time television address accepting the Democratic nomination for president on Thursday evening, so if he can deliver, the major bump in the polls could come this evening or tomorrow.
However, news that Romney remains competitive in the polls with Obama, and even in the lead, is sure to come as a welcome development for Republicans, who held a convention of their own last week (but according to Gallup, did not receive much of a Convention "bump"). Additionally, a new poll suggests Obama is slipping in support amongst women voters.
The findings from the latest polls are from an Ipsos poll conducted for Reuters from September 2-6 with a sample of 1,623 American registered voters. The poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points.
Notably, Bill Clinton's well-received speech on Wednesday night did not factor into the poll, so the result may look very different after Thursday night.
All polls in this election should be taken with a grain of salt, as the numbers frequently change and different outlets have produced different results depending on the outcome they wish to report. Still, this year seems different in terms of an election "bump." Whereas Republican John McCain received a bump of about 6 percentage points back in 2008, it seems as though voters in 2012 are already divided into two camps, more polarized, and therefore less likely to be swayed by the conventions.