For the first time in a week, Mitt Romney has surged ahead of President Obama in the polls. According to a new Presidential Tracking Poll by Rasmussen Reports on Thursday, Mitt Romney holds 47% voter support nationwide, compared to President Obama's 46% support.
Significantly, 3% of voters prefer some other candidate, and 5% are undecided. This group may end up swinging the election one way or the other.
As is the case for all polls, this new data (which Rasmussen reports daily) should be taken with a grain of salt. Much can change as voters swing in between each candidate based on the daily happenings of the election cycle.
Still, the poll has a couple of interesting take-aways: Romney is now supported by 18% of white Democrats, something which comes as a surprise. He also has a solid lead over Obama when it comes to solidifying his base: He holds a 77-point lead among Republicans, compared to President Obama's 72-point advantage.
In addition, Republicans are more engaged in the election than Democrats. Amongst GOP voters, 49% are following the race on a daily basis. Amongst Democrats, however, just 42% are interested in this election cycle. After the Democratic Convention in Charlotte, it seemed like President Obama was getting a "bump" and Democrats were more engaged, but that seems to be subsiding.
Finally, Romney has taken the lead amongst voters in Missouri, where he is hoping to secure a swing state in the win column over Romney.
For a full review of the results, see here. The poll was taken via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.