Will Hurricane Joaquin Hit New York? An Update on the Projected Storm Path

Source: Getty Images
Source: Getty Images

On Thursday, the National Hurricane Center leveled up Hurricane Joaquin to a Category 4, an "extremely dangerous" storm with maximum sustained winds of at least 130 mph. As the storm, which tore through the central Bahamas on Thursday, gains momentum, some in the United States are wondering where Hurricane Joaquin could head next — and whether major metropolitan areas like New York City are in its path. 

Many New Yorkers recall the devastation caused by Hurricane Sandy in 2012. "I hate to compare anything to Sandy, but the setup isn't all that different," Rob Reale, a meteorologist at WeatherWorks, said. "I know a lot of things can get overhyped, but this, I actually think, may be underhyped." Hurricane Sandy was a Category 3 hurricane. 

Despite such warnings, weather tracking technology offered continued uncertainty about Hurricane Joaquin's definitive path. It's likely the storm will hit New York, but not at full force, the New York Times reports. Weather experts said Hurricane Joaquin could weaken by the time it reaches the U.S. Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.  

Source: Mic/YouTube

Even if the storm doesn't maintain its intensity through the weekend, New Yorkers are likely to experience heavy rains and flooding into early next week, according to Forbes. On Thursday, New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo mobilized state agencies in preparation for potential weather emergencies.

Weather reports predict Hurricane Joaquin will lessen in intensity as it moves north past Delaware and New Jersey, the National Hurricane Center reports. That would put Joaquin at New York, Connecticut and New Jersey as soon as Monday. 

Computer models used to track hurricane storm paths, which Reuters reports are "often" reliable, show the storm nearing the coasts of North and South Carolina over the weekend. At the same time, "Confidence in the details of the forecast after 72 hours remains low, as there have been some large changes in the model guidance overnight," the National Hurricane Center writes. "The range of possible outcomes is still large, and the possibility of a hurricane landfall in the Carolinas still cannot be ruled out."

At the same time, officials estimate the storm could impact more than 65 million people, AccuWeather reports.

Category 4 hurricanes are categorized by a windspeed range of 130 mph to 156 mph. Five is the highest possible hurricane category.

How likely are you to make Mic your go-to news source?

Liz Rowley

Liz is a staff writer at Mic, covering breaking news. She is based in New York and can be reached at lrowley@mic.com.

MORE FROM

Will Justice Anthony Kennedy retire at end of Supreme Court term? Here's what we know.

Rumors that the 80-year-old swing justice may leave the bench are fueling fear of a second Trump pick on the nation's high court.

3 states and D.C. allow same flammable building materials behind Grenfell Tower fire

The causes of London's Grenfell Tower are similar to the justifications used to waive fire regulations in the U.S.

New Jersey bill would require kids to be taught how to interact with police

Students from kindergarten through 12th grade would receive the education.

UK Parliament hit with cyberattack

Members of Parliament had difficulty accessing their emails Saturday in the wake of the attack.

Istanbul LGBT pride march banned by government for safety concerns

A right-wing nationalist group has vowed to stop the protest.

Compounds seized by US in December reportedly contained material useful in Russia probe

The Trump administration has reportedly been considering returning the New York and Maryland compounds to Russia.

Will Justice Anthony Kennedy retire at end of Supreme Court term? Here's what we know.

Rumors that the 80-year-old swing justice may leave the bench are fueling fear of a second Trump pick on the nation's high court.

3 states and D.C. allow same flammable building materials behind Grenfell Tower fire

The causes of London's Grenfell Tower are similar to the justifications used to waive fire regulations in the U.S.

New Jersey bill would require kids to be taught how to interact with police

Students from kindergarten through 12th grade would receive the education.

UK Parliament hit with cyberattack

Members of Parliament had difficulty accessing their emails Saturday in the wake of the attack.

Istanbul LGBT pride march banned by government for safety concerns

A right-wing nationalist group has vowed to stop the protest.

Compounds seized by US in December reportedly contained material useful in Russia probe

The Trump administration has reportedly been considering returning the New York and Maryland compounds to Russia.