March Madness Odds: Predicting the Perfect Bracket Chances Are One in 9.2 Quintillion

Confident about your NCAA Tournament bracket? You might want to think again. The odds of predicting a perfect bracket are one in 9.2 quintillion (or more precisely: 1 in 9,223,372,036,854,775,808). Best of luck with that. 

If you happen to be one of 33 students in a course called "Bracketology" at the University of Cincinnati, you can learn that the chances of filling out a perfect bracket may even be less than the astronomical 9.2 quintillion. Professor Michael Magazine teaches the pass/fail class as the 10-seeded Cincinnati Bearcats head out for the tournament. 

Tom DeRosa is a former algebra teacher who provides lesson plans for high schools across the country. He provided these stats to consider when filling out a bracket

Blue has been the school color of 24 of the 40 teams to make the Final Four during the last 10 years, and the hue worn by the last nine national champions.

Of those 40 Final Four team mascots, 12 have been people (Spartan, Mountaineer, etc.), seven have been canines and five have been birds (mostly the mythical Jayhawk). There have been Warriors at the Final Four and a Gator or two. But the most ferocious — for those who like to pair the mascots off in cage matches — has been, by far, the Blue Devil.

Las Vegas, which exists because of its ability to get math right, has No. 1 seed Louisville as a 9-2 favorite to win it all, followed by second-seeded Duke and Miami at 8-1. (Warning: Odds can be influenced by betting patterns, and Duke has one of the largest followings in the nation.)

So, there you have it. The odds are against you, but that doesn't mean you shouldn't try to fill out a perfect bracket.

Be sure to tune into to PolicyMic for all the March Madness coverage throughout the NCAA Tournament. 

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Liam Boylan-Pett

Liam is a culture writing intern at PolicyMic. His work has appeared in "Running Times" and other running publications. He is also a professional middle-distance runner for the New Jersey-New York Track Club. After graduating from Columbia University with his bachelor's degree, he earned a Master's of Professional Studies in Journalism from Georgetown University. Originally from Bath, Mich, he spends his time watching TV, reading longform journalism, and thinking about who is going to be in the NCAA basketball tournament's Final Four.

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