If there is one thing that polls can show us, it’s trends. Obama definitely got a post-convention bounce, but much to the disdain of media pundits around the country, it appears to be all but over. Now with both campaigns rocking from surprise "gotcha" recordings, it appears likely that the momentum could shift back once again.
A video of Mitt Romney from a campaign fundraiser in Boca Raton, Florida back in May showed Romney talking about the realities that 47% of people do not pay income taxes in the United States. The day after all hell broke loose for the Romney camp, a recording of President Obama from 1998 came out, showing that he is in favor of income redistribution.
While some may assume that both candidates could take a hit, it’s more likely that Obama’s comment will hurt him over time, while Romney’s might actually help him in the end.
Yesterday afternoon during an interview, Romney doubled down and explained his positions in a terrific display of conservatism and the possibilities of capitalism and upward mobility. He explained how President Obama wants to keep people on the dole, buying their votes in effect with government services. He also mentioned the recently leaked Obama tape, saying that when it comes to income redistribution, he’s not the guy to vote for. That guy is President Obama.
(For the record, this was one of the main cruxes of 2016: Obama’s America. Dinesh D’Souza, the director of the film, should send Obama flowers for proving him right ... that Obama really is for income redistribution.)
As for Obama’s reaction? Well, he hasn’t given one yet. In all likelihood, he probably won’t. Neither will much of the mainstream media that is trying frantically to protect him. Thankfully, there’s the internet and social media, which in this election has become the great equalizer.
For those of you that haven’t heard it:
The polls are ripe for a shift in momentum. Rasmussen on Tuesday had Romney up, 47% to 45%. A Gallup Poll released on the same day which has previously showed Obama with a sizeable lead, now shows Obama 47%, Romney 46% among registered voters. It’s a stroke of irony that Obama is now taking the same percentage that does not pay any income tax, isn’t it?
The Real Clear Politics average has shown Obama trending down, from an average of 3.6 points ahead on September 11th to 2.6 points ahead today.
Romney is also picking up steam in certain swing states. According to Gallup, an average of swing states shows Obama 48%, Romney 46%. A Rasmussen average of those same swing states shows Romney 47%, Obama 46%.
As for the Obama campaign and mainstream media narrative that Romney will never get any support from lower income earners? A Tuesday Gallup poll showed Romney earning a solid 34% from voters that earn $24,000 and under, 41% from those earning $24,000 to $36,000, and 43% from voters earning $36,000 to $48,000. Romney currently beats President Obama, 49% to 46% with all voters that earn between $48,000 to $90,000.
Rather than cower and beg forgiveness like some people would have (See: John McCain) Romney came out saying: “We believe in free people and free enterprise, not redistribution."
Romney is taking this negative, and turning into a positive. He'll give conservatives and independents something positive.
President Obama? We're still waiting for his reaction to the tapes showing he believes in income redistribution.