Election map 2016: Here's who's winning key states, according to the latest polls

Source: Getty Images
Source: Getty Images

With polls showing the presidential race tightening as it enters the crucial final stretch, it is important to remember what really matters: who is winning the handful of states that will pick the next president. And just as there are many polls to cite, there are many tools to predict who will win in key states. 

The map below, from 270ToWin, shows how the U.S. turned out for Barack Obama in his victory over Mitt Romney. If Hillary Clinton repeats Obama's state victories, she would win 332 electoral votes — well over the 270 electoral votes a presidential candidate needs to win the White House. 

The states Barack Obama won in 2012 projected onto the 2016 electoral map.
Source: 
270 To Win/270 To Win

The latest RealClearPolitics polling averages, which are illustrated in the map below, give Clinton an edge over Donald Trump in Florida, North Carolina and Ohio — states Trump must win to have a shot at the White House. 

There are many groups and news organizations that weigh polling against other factors to determine. 270ToWin aggregated predictions from seven of those sources into the map below, which shows Clinton is already very close to victory.

Election analysts predict Clinton is likely to begin election day with more than enough electoral votes to win.
Source: 
270 To Win/270 To Win

Because Clinton will begin election day with a solid hold on many high-value states, Trump must win numerous swing states without giving Clinton a win in places like Ohio and Florida. But as the above map shows, even if Trump can pull out wins in the perennial swing states, Clinton could still eke out victory. Under all probable scenarios, the electoral map is undoubtedly presenting difficulties for Trump. 

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Will Drabold

Will Drabold is a policy writer at Mic. He writes Navigating Trump's America, Mic's daily read on Donald Trump's America. He is based in Washington, D.C., and can be reached at wdrabold@mic.com

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