Florida presidential polls: Is Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton leading in Florida?

Florida presidential polls: Is Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton leading in Florida?
Source: AP
Source: AP

Donald Trump is heading to Florida on Tuesday night to rally voters in a state where his opponent Hillary Clinton is leading in the polls.

Latest Florida polls show slight Clinton lead

An Opinion Savvy poll released Wednesday gave Clinton a 47% to 44% lead over Trump, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 5% and Green Partyer Jill Stein at 1%.

According to a poll released Sunday by NBC, the Wall Street Journal and Marist, Clinton leads Trump 46% to 44% in the Sunshine State.

However, the poll was taken from Oct. 3 to 5, before Hurricane Matthew hit, before the two candidates faced off for their second presidential debate in St. Louis and before the release of a 2005 videotape showing Trump using language that was predatory towards women.

In a four-way race, including the two third-party candidates, Clinton holds a 3-point lead over Trump among likely voters in Florida.


How Florida's demographic groups are voting

Clinton has strong support among African-Americans, Latinos, women and young voters in Florida. And Trump leads with men and whites. Trump's support is strong with whites without a college degree (69%-29%). Among whites with a college degree Trump is still in the lead, but only by a 4-point margin.

Florida polling averages

The RealClearPolitics polling average shows Clinton polling at 45% in a four-way contest — a 2-point edge over Trump's 43%. In a two-way contest, she leads him 47% to 44%.

FiveThirtyEight gives Clinton a 76.1% chance of winning the state on Nov. 8.

Mic has ongoing presidential coverage. Please follow our main election hub as well as coverage of Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton.

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Stephanie Gaskell

Stephanie Gaskell is a policy writer for Mic.

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