Here are the states Hillary Clinton needs to secure the election

Here are the states Hillary Clinton needs to secure the election
Source: AP
Source: AP

On Monday, Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton still maintained a healthy 2.5-point lead over opponent Donald Trump, even after taking a hit from FBI Director James Comey's announcement he would reopen the investigation into her email servers. Just a day later, though, other polls showed Trump pulling forward with a 1-point advantage over Clinton, making for a neck-in-neck race to the White House.

But despite Trump's lead in the polls, Clinton still has a fair shot at clinching the presidency — and can even do so with ease — if she edges out Trump in a few key battleground states.

Swing states Clinton needs to win

If any presidential candidate wanted to outdo their opponent in the last several decades, they'd have had to win either Florida or Ohio, the latter having been a predictor of the outcome of every presidential race since 1960

Such might not be the case for the 2016 election. In October, the Washington Post, in a headline on an Associated Press report, wrote that Ohio was no longer a "must-win" for Clinton, as her path to the White House relies heavily on minority voters' support. Ohio is about 80% white.

Over the summer, FiveThirtyEight suggested Clinton could even win without the help of Iowa or Nevada. At the time, Clinton's strong lead in battleground states Colorado and Virginia allowed for this extra cushion. 

Despite Clinton's falling national poll numbers, she still enjoys an advantage over Trump in those states at the time of this writing, with an approximate 3-point lead and 77.2% chance of winning in Colorado and a 6-point lead and 88.4% chance of winning in Virginia.

Hillary Clinton campaigning in Ohio, a historic battleground state.
Source: 
Matt Rourke/AP

How does Trump stack up in battleground states?

As previously reported by Mic, Trump needs to claim Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina and Ohio to have any hope of besting Clinton.

Early voting numbers from Friday have indicated that voters in Iowa and North Carolina are tending toward Trump, while voters in Florida and Nevada are leaning toward Clinton. According to CNN, in Florida alone, "the GOP advantage has been slashed by about two-thirds."

How much do you trust the information in this article?

Marie Solis

Marie is a staff writer with a focus in feminist issues. Her writing has appeared in Gothamist and the Awl. You can reach her at marie@mic.com.

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