Who is leading in the polls, Clinton or Trump? Here are the latest figures

Source: AP
Source: AP

With the presidential election just four days away and both candidates hitting the campaign trail hard in crucial swing states this week, new polls on Friday give Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton a slightly bigger lead over her Republican opponent, Donald Trump, than she's had in the past few days.

What do the polls say?

Friday's ABC News/Washington Post poll gave Clinton a 3-point lead over Trump, calling it a "hint of momentum" for Clinton. In the latest RealClearPolitics four-way average, Clinton holds a 2.6-point lead over Trump.

But the race is still close

As of Friday morning, FiveThirtyEight gave Clinton a 67.8% chance of winning the presidency to Trump's 32.1% chance. 

FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver explained in a Thursday blog post that in 2012, the site put President Barack Obama's chances at reelection at 91% in its final election forecast — significantly higher than Clinton's predicted chances. Obama's chances were rated so much higher than Clinton's in the final week because, as Silver explained, "there are far more undecided and third-party voters this year, which could lead to a last-minute swing or a polling error."

Despite the small ups and downs in the polls, there could still be some surprises in store on Election Day.

How likely are you to make Mic your go-to news source?

Anna Swartz

Anna is a staff writer for Mic covering breaking news. She can be reached at aswartz@mic.com.

MORE FROM

Marchers arrested in Istanbul as Pride parade continues despite cancellation

The organizers' decision to move forward with the previously cancelled march led to clashes with police.

Car slams into Eid celebrants in UK, injuring 6; police say terrorism isn't suspected

Police say they believe an Eid celebrant was behind the wheel of the car that injured six outside a mosque.

Oil truck explodes in Pakistan, killing at least 153

The deadly fire broke out as residents rushed to collect the leaking oil from the overturned tanker.

Will Justice Anthony Kennedy retire at end of Supreme Court term? Here's what we know.

Rumors that the 80-year-old swing justice may leave the bench are fueling fear of a second Trump pick on the nation's high court.

3 states and D.C. allow same flammable building materials behind Grenfell Tower fire

The causes of London's Grenfell Tower are similar to the justifications used to waive fire regulations in the U.S.

New Jersey bill would require kids to be taught how to interact with police

Students from kindergarten through 12th grade would receive the education.

Marchers arrested in Istanbul as Pride parade continues despite cancellation

The organizers' decision to move forward with the previously cancelled march led to clashes with police.

Car slams into Eid celebrants in UK, injuring 6; police say terrorism isn't suspected

Police say they believe an Eid celebrant was behind the wheel of the car that injured six outside a mosque.

Oil truck explodes in Pakistan, killing at least 153

The deadly fire broke out as residents rushed to collect the leaking oil from the overturned tanker.

Will Justice Anthony Kennedy retire at end of Supreme Court term? Here's what we know.

Rumors that the 80-year-old swing justice may leave the bench are fueling fear of a second Trump pick on the nation's high court.

3 states and D.C. allow same flammable building materials behind Grenfell Tower fire

The causes of London's Grenfell Tower are similar to the justifications used to waive fire regulations in the U.S.

New Jersey bill would require kids to be taught how to interact with police

Students from kindergarten through 12th grade would receive the education.