Election Day 2016 is finally upon us, and in Michigan, the polls are open (and will be until 8 p.m. Central).
The Great Lakes State is FiveThirtyEight's third most important tipping-point state, with a 12% chance of tipping the election. Michigan offers the victor 16 electoral votes, and while the state has not voted Republican since 1988, in 2016, it's feasible that it could swing Republican: There are "enough white voters without college degrees" to tip the scales in Donald Trump's favor, if traditionally Democratic demographics don't turn out for Hillary Clinton, according to election forecaster Nate Silver.
Tensions are high in the coveted swing state, with the Detroit Free Press reporting "chaos," malfunctioning ballot counting machines and delays at Detroit polls and at least one verbal altercation in Ypsilanti Township.
As Election Day kicked off, Clinton was ahead in Michigan. At time of writing, according to RealClearPolitics, she had a nearly 4-point lead over her rival, Republican candidate Trump. According to the Huffington Post's poll aggregator, Clinton's average support in Michigan is roughly 47%, compared to Trump's 42%.
It's a narrow margin, yes, but the outcome looks favorable for Clinton: According to FiveThirtyEight, at time of writing, she had a 79% shot of winning Michigan, to Trump's 21%.
Nov. 8, 2016, 1:50 p.m. Eastern: This story has been updated.