Gary Johnson Spoiler: Latest Presidential Polls Show a Third Party Disaster in the Works for Mitt Romney

I don’t believe anyone denies that Mitt Romney came across unexpectedly well during the first presidential debate. Also, no one can deny as a result, Mitt Romney has moved up in the polls. Gary Johnson is also moving up.

Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus thinks Libertarian nomineee Johnson is irrelevant; I wouldn’t expect him to say otherwise. While the party dummied-down for their pre-debate expectations, dismissing Johnson could be a dangerous proposition.

Since the swing states — Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia, and Wisconsin — are where the two major party campaigns are concentrating their efforts, that’s where I will keep the focus of this article. 

It is important to note that Johnson is starting to be included in polls. Rasmussen, Gallup, and Public Policy Polling have all recognized it’s time to include Johnson.

NOTE: Numbers are the latest available.

Colorado – Latest polls show Johnson with 5%. Obama leads Romney by 0.2%. Ron Paul received 12% in the GOP primary.

Florida – Polls in Florida have yet to include Johnson, but the two major party candidates are tied.  Paul received 7% in the primary.

Iowa – As in Florida, there are no polling numbers for Johnson. The president leads Romney by 3.2%. Paul captured 21% of the caucus votes.

Nevada — Latest poll has Johnson with 3%. Here too, Obama leads Romney by 4.6%.Paul took 19% of the caucus vote.

New Hampshire – Johnson is pulling 7% in the Granite State. Obama is leading Romney by 6% and Paul won 23% of the primary vote.

North Carolina – Romney leads Obama by 0.8%. Paul took 11% in the GOP primary.

Ohio – In the latest polls, Johnson received 10.6% support. The president has a 3% lead. Since Paul took 9% during the primary, Johnson could already have captured that support. But then again, maybe not.

Virginia – Latest poll has 4% supporting Johnson. The president has a 0.3% lead. The GOP Virginia primary ballot had two candidates, Romney and Paul. Paul took 40%.

Wisconsin – Johnson is winning the support of 6% of the voters. Here, the president is leading by 6.6%. Paul took 11% during the primary.

Nationally, when his name is included, Johnson is polling between 4% to 6%.  Paul’s numbers are significant in that even though Romney is gaining support, it is unknown how Paul supporters, probably the most likely to vote for Johnson, will end up casting their ballots. But Johnson is also pulling support from the president. Now that Johnson is being included in some polls, his name is becoming known. If the president continues his poor showing in the debates another unknown develops. Will more Democrats vote for Johnson?

If the swing states are any indication, Johnson’s impact in the remaining 41 states and the District of Columbia could be a factor as well.

Johnson is a factor. He is getting media time; NPR, Politico, Fox Business, the Atlantic, U.S. News, and Huffington Post to name a few. He is maximizing social media.

Priebus may not publically believe Johnson is a threat, but I can’t help but think if privately he is just a little bit worried.

How much do you trust the information in this article?

Douglas Goodman

Retired military and Quality Assurance / Warehouse Operations and Distribution Manager. Have enjoyed politics since the Kennedy/Nixon debates. Besides good political discussions, I've been involved in campaigns at all levels as well as having served on school, city, and county committees and boards. Been called weird because I enjoy reading government legislation and other government rules and regulations.

MORE FROM

Amid new revelations, here’s what we’ve learned about the Russian lawyer who met with Trump Jr.

The picture of Natalia Veselnitskaya is coming into clearer focus.

Republican Senator urges whoever leaked Russia/Sessions phone calls to release whole conversation

Sen. Chuck Grassley wants the person who leaked intelligence about Attorney General Jeff Sessions and Russian ambassador Sergey Kislyak to come forward with more information.

Donald Trump Jr. and Paul Manafort now to testify before Senate committee behind closed doors

Trump Jr. and Manafort have avoided a subpoena and will testify behind closed doors — for now.

Hope Hicks reportedly tried to rein Trump in during explosive ‘Times’ interview. It didn’t work.

The low-profile Trump Whisperer is one of the few in the president's orbit to enjoy job security.

Scaramucci once asked Obama if he’d be softer on Wall Street. It didn’t end well.

The exchange came during a CNBC town hall on the financial crisis, two years into Obama’s presidency.

Trump blasts Hilary Clinton, Comey and ‘Amazon Washington Post’ in tweet storm

He also defended Don Jr. and called Democrats "obstructionists" with "no ideas."

Amid new revelations, here’s what we’ve learned about the Russian lawyer who met with Trump Jr.

The picture of Natalia Veselnitskaya is coming into clearer focus.

Republican Senator urges whoever leaked Russia/Sessions phone calls to release whole conversation

Sen. Chuck Grassley wants the person who leaked intelligence about Attorney General Jeff Sessions and Russian ambassador Sergey Kislyak to come forward with more information.

Donald Trump Jr. and Paul Manafort now to testify before Senate committee behind closed doors

Trump Jr. and Manafort have avoided a subpoena and will testify behind closed doors — for now.

Hope Hicks reportedly tried to rein Trump in during explosive ‘Times’ interview. It didn’t work.

The low-profile Trump Whisperer is one of the few in the president's orbit to enjoy job security.

Scaramucci once asked Obama if he’d be softer on Wall Street. It didn’t end well.

The exchange came during a CNBC town hall on the financial crisis, two years into Obama’s presidency.

Trump blasts Hilary Clinton, Comey and ‘Amazon Washington Post’ in tweet storm

He also defended Don Jr. and called Democrats "obstructionists" with "no ideas."