Real Clear Politics shows that recently Democratically leaning New Mexico is polling in favor of President Obama by an average of 10%. Prior to the last presidential election, New Mexico was historically split fairly evenly between Democratic and Republican presidential votes. The state going blue in 2008 set a new precedent, tipping the state over into a Democratic majority record. This year they appear to be on track to continue the trend.
New Mexico has 5 electoral votes and 3 congressional districts.
The New Mexico Senate race has also generated some national interest. Martin Heinrich (D) is running against former rep, Heather Wilson (R), for retiring Jeff Bingaman’s (D) open seat. Wilson was the first female veteran ever elected to congress, according to her campaign site. Heinrich is a current House representative, who took over for Wilson during her unsuccessful 2008 bid for Senate.
The Huffington Post reports that, “This Senate race has attracted some of the key figures in both candidates’ parties to stump on their behalf, with Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) supporting Wilson and Sen. John Kerry (R-Mass.) giving support to Heinrich. It’s been ground zero for a festival of 'dark money' donors as well.”
Polls have Heinrich leading in the polls by 10.6%. According to Real Clear Politics, “Republicans haven't controlled the state Senate since the 1920s, nor have they won the state House since the 1950s.” It looks as though this open seat belongs to the Democrats, but this race will be tight.
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