Best Actress Oscar 2013: Jennifer Lawrence Will Win

Who will win Best Actress?

Odds provided by Bovada.lv

Best Actress

Breese's Pick: Jennifer Lawrence for Silver Linings Playbook (-200)

When a tour de force performance from a nine-year-old is the long shot to win a category, you know you have a special group on your hands.  I've been practicing my pronunciation of Quvenzhané Wallis for weeks now, in the event she shocks the world and takes home the Oscar (+4000).  If you watch Beasts of the Southern Wild and don't cry, well, you're a borderline sociopath.  

Naomi Watts (+3300) joins Wallis as an underdog.  To be honest, her nomination came as a surprise to me, leaving Marion Cotillard on the sideline for her performance in Rust and Bone

In the end, the Oscar could easily go to Riva, Lawrence or Chastain.  They're all worthy nominees with the requisite buzz leading up to Sunday.  Amour will walk away with the Oscar for Best Foreign Film, so don't feel bad for Riva.  This is really a showdown between Chastain (+600) and Lawrence.  Both were winners at the Golden Globes, both have recent Oscar nominations and both seem to be universally well liked.  Every year there needs to be a good old fashioned coin flip for a major Oscar and this is it.  

I'd hedge my bets here and lay 6 units on Lawrence and 2 units on Chastain.  As long as Riva doesn't take the stage, you've made money.  

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Michael Calabrese

Currently he is the editor-in-chief of My Halls of Fame (MyHOFS.com), a contributing writer for Football Nation and a featured guest on Sirius/XM's Fantasy Sports Channel. He graduated from Loyola College in Maryland with a BA in Writing & Political Science. When Mike isn't writing, his interests include watching anything produced by AMC and running his two fantasy leagues (college football and college basketball).

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