Oscars Predictions: Nate Silver

Throwing conjecture out the window, Nate Silver, the guy who went 50-for-50 on who would win which states in the election, has predicted the Oscars. He's done this not judging on artistic merit, but judging on pre-Oscars awards and who won them: SAG, DGA, Golden Globes, etc. He focused on "insider" awards (like SAG) as opposed to "critics" awards (like the Golden Globes) because insiders pick the Oscars and they have a higher rate of correlation. So, his picks:

Picture: Argo

Director: Spielberg

Actor: Day-Lewis

Actress: Lawrence

Supporting Actor: Jones

Supporting Actress: Hathaway

I wish he weren't right, but I think he is. Damn predictability. 

How much do you trust the information in this article?

Tom Mandel

Go Knicks. tom DOT mandel AT gmail DOT com

MORE FROM

‘Game of Thrones’: Everyone's true nature is exposed in "Stormborn"

WE WERE ALL ROOTING FOR YOU, THEON!

‘Game of Thrones’: We breakdown everything HBO teased for next week's episode

Jon and Dany are finally going to meet.

‘Girls Trip’ finishes second at the box office, outperforming expectations

The film's success once again demonstrates how diverse films are underestimated at the box office.

‘Insecure’ season two is television for us, by us — and it’s even better than before

Creator Issa Rae shouldn't sweat the Emmy snub — her connection with her core audience is what really makes this series shine.

We talked to military experts about who will win the Iron Throne

Does Dany have a chance? Historians, tacticians and scholars weigh in on the ultimate outcome of 'Game of Thrones.'

‘Game of Thrones’ Season 7, Episode 2 Trailer: New alliances may form in “Stormborn”

Jon Snow and Daenerys Targaryen may have an unexpected intermediary.

‘Game of Thrones’: Everyone's true nature is exposed in "Stormborn"

WE WERE ALL ROOTING FOR YOU, THEON!

‘Game of Thrones’: We breakdown everything HBO teased for next week's episode

Jon and Dany are finally going to meet.

‘Girls Trip’ finishes second at the box office, outperforming expectations

The film's success once again demonstrates how diverse films are underestimated at the box office.

‘Insecure’ season two is television for us, by us — and it’s even better than before

Creator Issa Rae shouldn't sweat the Emmy snub — her connection with her core audience is what really makes this series shine.

We talked to military experts about who will win the Iron Throne

Does Dany have a chance? Historians, tacticians and scholars weigh in on the ultimate outcome of 'Game of Thrones.'

‘Game of Thrones’ Season 7, Episode 2 Trailer: New alliances may form in “Stormborn”

Jon Snow and Daenerys Targaryen may have an unexpected intermediary.