If History is Any Indication, a North Korean Attack On the South is Imminent

Twice in the past month, I have written about how North Korea is a greater nuclear threat than Iran. I've stressed the world needs to take immediate action to prevent an attack that could kill thousands if not millions. Looking at recent history, this scenario is even more apparent.

When the U.N. Security Council unanimously imposed new sanctions against North Korea last week, the Kim Jung-Un regime immediately announced it would pull out of the 1953 truce that ended hostilities of the Korean Conflict and cut all ties with the south. On March 11, these actions were confirmed to have taken place. In its announcement, the North Korean spokesman said "the time for final showdown has arrived." This is not a threat. Doing nothing, waiting until the attack occurs, and then reacting is a mistake.

Skirmishes across the demilitarized zone are nothing new. However, in 1999, 2002, 2009, and 2010 North Korea, in response to what it perceived to be threats to its sovereignty or imposed international sanctions, took action on the high seas, attacking and sinking South Korean naval vessels. (2009 attack resulted in severe damage to the North Korean ship.) Also in 2010, North Korean artillery shelled Yeonpyeong Island, killing two civilians.

All these attacks were preceded by periods of threats. However, the intensity of the language coming of North Korea has never been as high. Following the announcement that they were pulling out of the truce, Washington toughened the sanctions by cutting off the foreign trade of North Korea from U.S. markets. Further, National Security Advisor Thomas Donilon emphasized the U.S. will not accept empty promises as it has in the past.

South Korean and U.S. forces, in addition to participating in joint military exercises, are on a heightened state of alert. When the exercises end March 22 I doubt any forces will relax. If history is any indication, there may be a better indication of when North Korea will attack by then. 

How likely are you to make Mic your go-to news source?

Douglas Goodman

Retired military and Quality Assurance / Warehouse Operations and Distribution Manager. Have enjoyed politics since the Kennedy/Nixon debates. Besides good political discussions, I've been involved in campaigns at all levels as well as having served on school, city, and county committees and boards. Been called weird because I enjoy reading government legislation and other government rules and regulations.

MORE FROM

When cops kill, paying their victims' families can be a cold, calculating process, attorneys say

Black lives are often seen as having less monetary value in the eyes of the law.

Ava Le'Ray Barrin, 17-year-old transgender girl, killed in Georgia

Barrin, 17, wanted to be a model.

Ten Commandments monument at Arkansas Capitol destroyed

The suspect appears to have broadcast the crash on Facebook Live.

'Hot Mic' podcast: Health care vote, Charges in Laquan McDonald shooting, U.S. image

The important stories to get you caught up for Wednesday.

Venezuela's Supreme Court targeted in helicopter attack amid ongoing crisis

The apparent helicopter attack is the latest escalation of an ongoing political crisis.

Iran calls Supreme Court's travel ban decision "racist" and "unfair"

Iranian officials criticized Trump's de-facto Muslim ban this week.

When cops kill, paying their victims' families can be a cold, calculating process, attorneys say

Black lives are often seen as having less monetary value in the eyes of the law.

Ava Le'Ray Barrin, 17-year-old transgender girl, killed in Georgia

Barrin, 17, wanted to be a model.

Ten Commandments monument at Arkansas Capitol destroyed

The suspect appears to have broadcast the crash on Facebook Live.

'Hot Mic' podcast: Health care vote, Charges in Laquan McDonald shooting, U.S. image

The important stories to get you caught up for Wednesday.

Venezuela's Supreme Court targeted in helicopter attack amid ongoing crisis

The apparent helicopter attack is the latest escalation of an ongoing political crisis.

Iran calls Supreme Court's travel ban decision "racist" and "unfair"

Iranian officials criticized Trump's de-facto Muslim ban this week.