Mitt Romney Will Win Massachusetts Republican Primary in a Landslide

It’s more likely that Super Tuesday’s most competitive race in Massachusetts will be the Democratic state committee races rather than the Republican presidential primary. Former Governor of Massachusetts Mitt Romney enjoys a commanding lead over his Republican opponents. Recent polling suggests that Romney is slated for a landslide victory of anywhere between 40 to 50 points over his next closest rival, former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum.

Romney’s support among Massachusetts’ primary voters seems to have dissuaded opponents from actively competing for the state’s 41 delegates. While other early voting states have seen their airwaves packed with campaign and Super PAC ads, Massachusetts has seen little primary action. Rather than spending on mailings, robocalls or ad blitzes, Republican presidential candidates have wisely ceded Massachusetts to Romney for less quixotic contests.

The candidates have not only been neglecting the Massachusetts airwaves, but they too have opted not to visit the state in the week leading up to the contest. I’ll note that Romney is expected to spend primary day in Massachusetts for what campaign aides expect to be a big night, but as of the eve of Super Tuesday, none of the candidates had visited since mid-February. Romney’s campaign along with the state Republican Party, which is chaired by Romney’s friend and former Bain Capital colleague, has made surprisingly little effort to engage potential voters. Consequently, pundits expect turnout to be low and enthusiasm to be mild.

Still, with proportional apportionment, look for Romney to take more than half of the Bay State’s delegates.

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