Donald Trump Predictions: How could Trump win the election?

Source: AP
Source: AP

The presidential election is now less than one week away, and the latest polls are showing an increasingly tight race between former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and real estate mogul and former reality TV star Donald Trump. 

After polls close on Nov. 8 the nation will finally find out whether Trump will be able to pull off a historic upset and win the election despite a tumultuous — and often ugly — campaign marred with accusations of sexual assault, erratic tweets and campaign promises that, if implemented, could violate the U.S. Constitution.

Could Donald Trump pull off a victory? 

Well, it's certainly possible. As of Wednesday, the latest national polls gave Clinton a slight edge: In a RealClearPolitics four-way polling average, Clinton was holding a 1.9-point lead, down from her 7-point lead roughly two weeks ago.

Trump supporters at a rally
Source: 
Evan Vucci/AP

His odds of winning are higher now than before.

But Trump's chances at a win are far from eliminated — in fact, according to FiveThirtyEight, his chances are better now than they have been in weeks. 

According to the site, "Trump remains an underdog, but no longer really a longshot." On Tuesday FiveThirtyEight put Trump's chances of victory at 29% in its polls-only model, and that's the highest it's been since Oct. 2. 

But, as Mic has previously reported, polls traditionally tighten in the final days of a presidential election, and at this time in 2012, President Barack Obama had an even smaller lead over Mitt Romney than Clinton currently holds over Trump. Although, if this election has taught us anything, it's that historical precedent doesn't mean much when Trump is in the ring.

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Anna Swartz

Anna is a staff writer for Mic covering breaking news. She can be reached at aswartz@mic.com.

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